{"id":228,"date":"2022-07-27T10:43:30","date_gmt":"2022-07-27T08:43:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ivangavriloff.com\/?p=228"},"modified":"2022-08-24T10:35:14","modified_gmt":"2022-08-24T08:35:14","slug":"piece-62","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ivangavriloff.com\/index.php\/2022\/07\/27\/piece-62\/","title":{"rendered":"Pi\u00e8ce #62"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Pour l\u2019ex-P.-D.G. de Google Chine, l\u2019IA va d\u00e9truire la moiti\u00e9 des emplois<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Clubic.com 2018<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Les \u00e9volutions dans le domaine de l’Intelligence artificielle ne manquent pas d’inqui\u00e9ter les travailleurs : bien qu’il ne s’agisse que d’estimations, entre 10 % et 50 % des emplois pourraient \u00eatre pris en charge par des robots. Les plus optimistes pensent qu’il faudra plusieurs d\u00e9cennies pour que \u00e7a arrive ; l’ancien P.-D.G. de Google Chine semble faire partie des pessimistes.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dans un entretien accord\u00e9 \u00e0 la cha\u00eene CNBC<\/a> lundi 13 novembre 2017, celui qui a aid\u00e9 \u00e0 lancer la version chinoise de Google estime tout simplement qu’en dix ans, la moiti\u00e9 des emplois seront d\u00e9truits.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Les \u00ab white collar jobs<\/em> \u00bb dispara\u00eetront en premier<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Qu’est-ce qui est plus compliqu\u00e9 : changer une ampoule ou analyser des centaines de documents ? Intuitivement la r\u00e9ponse est l’analyse des documents, ce qui para\u00eet une justification plausible au vu de la diff\u00e9rence de salaire entre un cadre et un artisan. C’est vrai… sauf si vous \u00eates une Intelligence artificielle. Dans ce cas-l\u00e0, c’est l’analyse de documents qui est plus simple.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kai-Fu Lee, P.-D.G. de Sinovation Ventures et ancien P.-D.G. de Google (apr\u00e8s avoir pass\u00e9 du temps chez Apple et Microsoft), consid\u00e8re en effet que ce seront bien les \u00ab\u00a0white collar jobs<\/em>\u00a0\u00bb soit le travail pour lequel il faut, dans l’inconscient collectif, \u00eatre habill\u00e9 en costume (en gros, les cadres) qui seront remplac\u00e9s en premier. \u00ab\u00a0Les\u00a0white collar jobs<\/em>\u00a0sont plus simples \u00e0 remplacer car il ne s’agit que de pure analyse quantitative<\/em>\u00a0\u00bb, a-t-il d\u00e9clar\u00e9 \u00e0 CNBC. Sont concern\u00e9s les analystes, les traders, les journalistes et m\u00eame les personnes faisant du t\u00e9l\u00e9marketing et de la SAV\u00a0: leurs t\u00e2ches \u00ab\u00a0peuvent \u00eatre remplac\u00e9es par un programme informatique<\/em>\u00a0\u00bb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

De nouveaux emplois cr\u00e9\u00e9s par les robots ? Pas vraiment<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Les robots, actuellement, ne peuvent pas r\u00e9aliser des t\u00e2ches plus simples comme changer une ampoule ou r\u00e9parer certains produits : il leur manque la capacit\u00e9 \u00e0 analyser les sensations, comme la vision, qui est propre \u00e0 l’Homme, et la capacit\u00e9 \u00e0 pouvoir coordonner l’analyse visuelle avec le mouvement des mains par exemple. Du moins cela leur est-il impossible pour l’instant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kai-Fu Lee a \u00e9galement une mauvaise nouvelle pour celles et ceux qui pensent que l’av\u00e8nement de l’IA et des robots pourrait cr\u00e9er d’autres emplois (ce qui r\u00e9duirait le nombre d’emplois perdus) : c’est faux. Selon lui, s’il faudra bien des personnes pour programmer des robots, \u00ab une personne peut programmer 10.000 robots<\/em> \u00bb. Pour 10.000 personnes qui perdront leur emploi, par exemple dans une usine, il n’y aura donc qu’un seul emploi de cr\u00e9\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L’ancien P.-D.G. de Google Chine estime donc que d’ici une dizaine d’ann\u00e9es environ, la moiti\u00e9 des emplois actuellement existants seront d\u00e9truits. Une disruption jamais vue auparavant, qui ne manquera pas de cr\u00e9er une crise sociale sans pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pour l\u2019ex-P.-D.G. de Google Chine, l\u2019IA va d\u00e9truire la moiti\u00e9 des emplois Clubic.com 2018 Les \u00e9volutions dans le domaine de l’Intelligence artificielle ne manquent pas d’inqui\u00e9ter les travailleurs : bien qu’il ne s’agisse que d’estimations, entre 10 % et 50 % des emplois pourraient \u00eatre pris en charge par des robots. Les plus optimistes pensent qu’il faudra plusieurs… Lire la suite »Pi\u00e8ce #62<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"","neve_meta_disable_header":"","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-228","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-non-classe"],"yoast_head":"\nPi\u00e8ce #62 - Ivan Gavriloff<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ivangavriloff.com\/index.php\/2022\/07\/27\/piece-62\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pi\u00e8ce #62 - Ivan Gavriloff\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Pour l\u2019ex-P.-D.G. de Google Chine, l\u2019IA va d\u00e9truire la moiti\u00e9 des emplois Clubic.com 2018 Les \u00e9volutions dans le domaine de l’Intelligence artificielle ne manquent pas d’inqui\u00e9ter les travailleurs : bien qu’il ne s’agisse que d’estimations, entre 10 % et 50 % des emplois pourraient \u00eatre pris en charge par des robots. 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